Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.032789 0.035208 0.037623 0.040214 0.042909 0.045627 0.048573
2025-09-07 0.027949 0.031777 0.035727 0.040091 0.044763 0.049600 0.054972
2025-09-14 0.024676 0.029261 0.034104 0.039568 0.045531 0.051811 0.058896
2025-09-21 0.022120 0.027233 0.032747 0.039080 0.046103 0.053604 0.062173
2025-09-28 0.019606 0.025044 0.031027 0.038017 0.045883 0.054391 0.064221
2025-10-05 0.018582 0.024448 0.031003 0.038763 0.047594 0.057237 0.068472
2025-10-12 0.017452 0.023642 0.030667 0.039089 0.048775 0.059447 0.071975
2025-10-19 0.016131 0.022528 0.029906 0.038863 0.049275 0.060846 0.074531
2025-10-26 0.015538 0.022245 0.030081 0.039690 0.050953 0.063555 0.078545
2025-11-02 0.014688 0.021598 0.029782 0.039926 0.051919 0.065430 0.081596
2025-11-09 0.013740 0.020779 0.029236 0.039833 0.052470 0.066806 0.084058
2025-11-16 0.012958 0.020130 0.028863 0.039917 0.053204 0.068373 0.086722
2025-11-23 0.011993 0.019244 0.028216 0.039708 0.053651 0.069684 0.089193
2025-11-30 0.011122 0.018449 0.027666 0.039611 0.054236 0.071172 0.091899
2025-12-07 0.010137 0.017446 0.026805 0.039089 0.054275 0.071989 0.093797
2025-12-14 0.009248 0.016522 0.026004 0.038606 0.054329 0.072801 0.095669
2025-12-21 0.008200 0.015314 0.024785 0.037550 0.053646 0.072705 0.096448
2025-12-28 0.007923 0.015190 0.024983 0.038291 0.055171 0.075246 0.100341
2026-01-04 0.007510 0.014845 0.024867 0.038614 0.056167 0.077146 0.103471
2026-01-11 0.006930 0.014218 0.024345 0.038390 0.056464 0.078188 0.105571
2026-01-18 0.006748 0.014182 0.024627 0.039211 0.058071 0.080821 0.109575
2026-01-25 0.006381 0.013842 0.024471 0.039445 0.058929 0.082537 0.112478
2026-02-01 0.005933 0.013348 0.024082 0.039353 0.059362 0.083725 0.114739